The 2016 presidential campaigns are history, but the chasm of American politics has been put on display for the world to witness and exploit.
When Trump said, “Make America Great Again” the Left said, “America was NEVER great!”
That reaction, fundamentally is a difference of vision that cannot be reconciled by those who hate America’s past, warts and all, and those who love their nation warts and all. One side is fine with Confederate heritage, another is ashamed of it and desires the history be erased. One side is envious of Europe with their democratic socialism and highly structured societies and the other side things that the whole point of America is not to be Europe.
Now, Trump was never my choice for President but damn if he hasn’t got the superpower to make Leftists absolutely lose their shit. Seriously NPR has Trump living on the airwaves, breathlessly analyzing every tweet or statement. Every other media outlet is essentially the same, following Trump like a cat trying to catch a red dot.
But, what does this mean for the future? Well it means that the traditional “give Congress back to the other party during the midterms” might not actually happen, because Trump has been fighting with Republicans in the House and Senate almost harder than he’s been fighting Democrats, so Dems won’t be able to get very far on running against Trump to get a House or Senate seat.
Because the irreconcilable divide is open, there is no point trying to compromise on a vision for America when that is literally a bridge too far.
So what does this mean for the 2018 mid term elections? Well there are 7 Republican seats in the Senate up for contest that are fairly certain to remain Republican, 17 seats that are up for Democrats that are fairly certain to remain Democrat, and that 11 seats that are “contestable” either way based on what I consider a best guess analysis.
Arizona…Jeff Flake is the incumbent not running for re-election (good riddance). I think there are two good Republican candidates, Martha McSally and Kelli Ward.
Wisconsin…not happy with Leah Vukmir’s placement in the early fielding.
The Dems could do it, but it would require a sweep of all 11 contested seats to get a 51 to 49 majority, so I think that is unlikely. And that makes the media war on all things Trump likely to double down on the stupid in order to influence the 2020 election cycle.